BRYAN BROWN (Manager of Investor Relations & Corporate Communications, Chiquita Brands International): Welcome to Chiquita Brands fourth quarter and full year 2008 earnings conference call. On the call today are Fernando Aguirre, chairman and chief executive officer, and Jeff Zalla, chief financial officer.
After today's prepared remarks, we will take questions as time allows. Joining for that portion of the call will be Brian Kocher, president of North America.
In our Salads and Healthy Snacks segment, net sales decreased by 10 percent from the year ago quarter to $295 million, primarily due to a reduction in foodservice volume, which declined 25 percent as we exited certain contracts that were not sufficiently profitable. Net revenue per case in retail value-added salads rose 6 percent in the fourth quarter versus the year-ago period. The fourth quarter of 2008 was impacted by higher industry and production costs, which were partially offset by improved pricing. Comparable operating results were a loss of $14 million versus a loss of $2 million in the year-ago quarter.
QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS JOHN SAN MARCO (Janney Montgomery Scott): I know you gave the number, what was the cost impact of the flooding that you felt during the fourth quarter? ZALLA: During the fourth quarter it was $8 million. SAN MARCO: And you expect $30 million for 2009 during the first half, presumably? ZALLA: Close to $30 million that are incremental, John, year-on-year, and those will be spread through the first three quarters. SAN MARCO: What are those costs, specifically, that are resulting from the flood? ZALLA: We had about 1,300 hectares of bananas that were flooded late in '08 in Costa Rica and Panama. So we have two costs as a result of the flood. One, we need to go out and secure replacement volumes so that adds cost and it also adds incremental logistics cost to ship that volume. In addition to that, we've got increased costs in maintaining the owned farms that drive productivity and restore those. SAN MARCO: Got it, and were those hectares primarily owned land? ZALLA: Yes, those were owned, that's correct. SAN MARCO: And then one last subject, switching to salads. Can you give a little more color around the 25 percent volume decline? I guess that was just foodservice. Specifically how much of that decline was from customers that went to zero versus just existing customers ordering less because of their own traffic problems? BRIAN KOCHER (President, North America): John, we went through a pretty aggressive process throughout 2008 to reposition our foodservice channel and really focus on driving profitability. So the significant portion of that reduction in volume is the result of either SKUs or customers that were low margin or no margin that we agreed to exit because we couldn't get the value that we were providing with the customer. So most of that volume was as a result of us driving our profitability initiatives throughout the foodservice channel. SAN MARCO: So, if you could strip away the impact of your higher return thresholds you're requiring from your customers, is there any reason to believe that the rest of the business would look any different from general foodservice trends or they've probably declined in line with foodservice traffic. Is that a fair assessment? KOCHER: The vast majority of the decline of foodservice volume was our driving profitability. SAN MARCO: Okay, and can you remind me, how much of Salads and Healthy Snacks is foodservice related? KOCHER: It's about 25 percent now. SAN MARCO: About a quarter. That's it for me. Thank you very much for your time. REZA VAHABZADEH (Barclays): Just to get the pricing for January, any commentary on pricing in Europe in February? ZALLA: No comments for February, Reza. In general, I would say that our pricing in local currency terms in January which is flat was better than what we saw at the bottom of the market. And we have seen the bottom of the market be sluggish in coming up the normal seasonal uptrend in pricing. There's been a lot of competition at the bottom of the market. We haven't seen the movement that we typically do or that we would expect in response to the relatively low value of the euro compared to year ago and the fact that we do see product supply cost increasing. We watch that every week and would hope and expect to see more of a seasonal uptrend in local pricing. VAHABZADEH: And then when you talk about in the outlook, about improved earnings in 2009 on a comparable basis, is that weighted to the second half, the first half, is that driven by EBIT improvement or interest expense reduction? Any commentary on that, not to give exact numbers, but just the color on that? ZALLA: Reza, it is difficult in this economic environment to give guidance by quarter and we're not going to do that. But our guidance is for the full year, for the total company and items that would be reconciling between as reported and comparable income would be, for example, the convertible adjustment which will be throughout the year and the EU headquarters move, which will be principally in the first half. VAHABZADEH: Okay, and then as far as product costs on the banana side, excluding flooding cost, how should we think about product cost on that front? Is it going to be rising at the same rate as in '08 or any comments on that would be appreciated. ZALLA: We saw unprecedented cost increases in 2008, driven by commodity cost inputs and aggressive competition for purchased fruit. We do not expect the same magnitude of cost increases in 2009. We do expect costs to be higher, driven principally by higher costs for purchased fruit which is both as a result of contract negotiations and government-imposed exit price increases, for example, in Costa Rica. We do expect fuel, of course, to be down but not by an amount that would offset that and the fuel reduction in cost will, at least for us, be offset by negative comparisons year-on-year and the results of our fuel hedging program. VAHABZADEH: On the cost savings front, are the cost savings that you would be generating in '09, will they be weighted towards the second half, first half? Any commentary on that would be appreciated. ZALLA: Yes, Reza, we typically give guidance for the full year about that and we have communicated by quarter what the results are. This year, as you can tell from our press release, we're taking a different view about guidance. We're giving directional input for the company as a whole, but not line-item detail or something like internal cost savings. So we have clear targets internally. Management incentive programs are tied to that through total company net income, and you can expect us to continue to try to drive cost efficiency throughout the organization. VAHABZADEH: Okay. Appreciate it. Thank you. HEATHER JONES (BB&T Capital Markets): Hi, I have quite a few questions. In the quarter, just looking at the banana results even adding back the $8 million in cost associated with Costa Rican flooding, it looks like your cost targets for the year will exceed the top end of that. Just looking at the pricing, looking at the currency and the volumes, all of those seem to be roughly in line with where we expected, but the earnings were far shorter. And I was just wondering, did you exceed the high end of your guidance of industry cost increases? ZALLA: No, Heather, we were in line in terms of bananas. We did have the flood impact. We also had the euro impact which weakened further at end of the quarter. That we had $8 million from the flood. We had $7 million from a weaker euro than we had expected earlier. That, plus weakness in salads volume and cost are what we would view to be the principal drivers of lower comparable results versus analysts' expectations for the quarter. JONES: As far as the euro, was there anything other than the revenue line, because we had assumed the $1.37 for the quarter? So you all were a little shy of that, but it didn't explain the disparity. Was there just something about the timing of it that caused to be a greater impact than it normally would have? ZALLA: It actually came in at $1.32. That difference between $1.32 and $1.37 was $7 million in effective impact to revenue and P&L for the quarter or $0.10 a share. JONES: Was there a greater proportion of -- because you have 75 percent that was at $1.40 for the '08. ZALLA: Correct. JONES: Was it a greater proportion of European revenues come in late in the quarter or something? ZALLA: No, I'm just saying you're comparing to an average for the quarter. I'm saying the average came in lower. The net impact of that for us was $7 million on the quarter. JONES: Okay. And then I was wondering what is North American banana pricing doing and did it do in January? KOCHER: North American banana pricing in January was about the same trend that we've seen recently. JONES: That's up in the 30s? KOCHER: That's right. JONES: Okay. And as I'm thinking about this, this last year in February, you instituted that force majeure surcharge, is that a fair timing of late February or so?. Should we start to expect pricing to flatten out, or because of the fuel surcharges, would you actually expect pricing to be down year-on-year for the rest of the year post? KOCHER: We believe that the pricing environment is stable right now and we'll continue to try to recover cost increases through pricing activity. We're going to drive for the profitability, Heather. ZALLA: In other words, Heather, we're going to expect stable pricing despite the fact that the fuel surcharge will come down as a result of lower market prices. JONES: Stable doesn't mean flat year-on-year, you're saying stable relative to what it is now? So it might be up for the rest of the year as well? ZALLA: Right. JONES: Can you give us a rough idea, the $30 million on the flood costs, the Costa Rican exit price, Ecuadorian exit price, I mean, don't you have a rough idea of what your costs would be? Is it $60 million, is it $70 million? Understand, you're not putting out hard targets, but just give us an idea of the magnitude of these increases that you do have visibility into. What is your guesstimate as to the total? ZALLA: That they're higher than that, Heather, that they're significant year on year. The flood-related costs are an incremental $30 million in 2009. Two-thirds of that is for sourcing costs, that's replacement fruit and costs on our owned farm. About $12 million of that or close to a third of it is due to incremental shipping and logistics costs to get replacements. For example, from Ecuador. But we're not going to provide line item by costs. Last year that proved to be confusing to many investors as we gave line-item details for cost but couldn't give clear guidance and didn't believe it prudent to give clear guidance about pricing. So instead, we're going to simply guide to an expectation about full-year performance. JONES: And with the exception of fuel, wouldn't you expect some other cost reductions this year with regard to fertilizer, like in the Guatemala. What is your view as far as that? ZALLA: Well, you would normally think that the fertilizers would drop because they're fuel related and fuel has come down sharply, but our current view of the commodity markets of fertilizer would say that year-on-year we're going to face an increase, notwithstanding the fact that fuel has come down itself and results for grower contracts in Guatemala and elsewhere are an outcome of negotiations. So we do expect year-on-year increases in purchased fruit cost as well which we need to overcome through pricing and other cost reduction actions. JONES: My final question is just to get an idea of you're saying that you expect on a comparable basis year-on-year improvement. So comparable EPS for '08 would be $1.12. Is that correct? ZALLA: Yes, that would be comparable. JONES: And so going to '09, setting aside the relocation, the extra convertible expense, just wondering where an increase is coming because we're looking at a significantly lower euro, sounds like another significant increase in costs. I mean, are we looking for that massive of an increase in Fresh Express or are you expecting pricing to offset these costs in bananas, or if you could walk us through where these levers are that are going to drive year-on-year improvements? ZALLA: Sure. Well, we're expecting strong pricing in North America in bananas. But to sustain stable pricing year-on-year despite the fact that the fuel surcharge would drop away is significant. We are taking aggressive actions on internal cost control. We've got close to $10 million in lower investment in Just Fruit in a Bottle, and we do expect significant improvement in the salads operations in 2009. JONES: Okay. All right, thank you very much. VINCENT ANDREWS (Morgan Stanley): If I could start, maybe just a couple of quick ones. I think you were going to have some legal expense in the fourth quarter, I think you said like $3 million or $5 million. Could you tell us what that turned out to be? ZALLA: That's correct. They were up actually $6 million versus year ago. Slightly above the high-end of the range we provided. ANDREWS: Okay and those will persist into this year? ZALLA: Well it's always hard to estimate how legal expenses will trend, as it depends on some factors outside of our control. ANDREWS: Those you're considering as part of continuing operations, correct? Whatever they wind up being? ZALLA: That's correct ANDREWS: Can you give us any sense as to what level of sales you're achieving in Just Fruit in a Bottle? ZALLA: We don't disclose that on a product line basis, Vincent. ANDREWS: I just hear you're spending $26 million and it just sounds like a lot of money. I thought it might be helpful to know what type of return you're getting on that already from a revenue perspective. ZALLA: It was a significant amount, $26 million in 2008. It could be as low as $16 million in 2009. What we've said is we have achieved in market position the number one position in almost all of the markets that we launched, and we're on track to hit our targets in each of those countries which is to reach break-even P&L results by the end of year three after market launch. So we view it as highly successful. ANDREWS: Okay, and then on salads, I'm just trying to make sure I understand what Fernando said which was that your retail sales were down 4 percent. The category was down 4 percent. People are going to the supermarket less but they're buying the same amount of salad, is that all correct? AGUIRRE: That's roughly right, Vincent. ANDREWS: How did your sales in the category go down 4 percent then? AGUIRRE: Volume is down, but remember the revenue, because of pricing that we took since the last four or five months, net revenue was per case, which is one of the ways we measure it. ANDREWS: So when you're saying people are buying the same amount of salad you're talking about from a dollar perspective? ZALLA: From a trip to the store. ANDREWS: On a per trip basis? ZALLA: Correct. AGUIRRE: What we said was fewer number of trips, but same number of bags that they buy per trip. ANDREWS: Okay, I get that. I get that piece now. Okay, and just so maybe to follow up on that. When you're talking about salad getting much better in 2009 it sounds like a lot of it has to do with the savings coming from Verdelli but what about from a top line perspective? ZALLA: I think there are a couple reasons why we are confident that we'll be able to improve the salad business in 2009, and a lot of those are the actions that we took in 2008. Remember, we have taken pricing in 2008. We have been able to integrate the Verdelli business, and now that integration is complete so we won't have the results burdened by these costs in 2009. We also have some of the foodservice volume that's come out of the system, and we've been able to reduce our production overhead to help match that, and there are other improvements that we've had in the manufacturing environment, which will allow us to profitably gain some distribution, some of which we've already been awarded that will start right in the second quarter of '09. ANDREWS: So is it fair to say that you were losing money on the foodservice contract that you walked away from and that makes up for what otherwise would have been lost economies of sale from lower production? ZALLA: Yes. ANDREWS: And so if you're able to find a new home for that volume and you do it profitably, there's upside to it, but otherwise there's no downside to not producing the volume? ZALLA: That's right. ANDREWS: Okay. Let me just see if there's anything else I have for now. I think that's it. I'll pass it along. Thanks so much. BEN MACKOVJAK (Rivanna Capital): Can you give us guidance for a tax rate for 2009? Is 15 percent fair?. ZALLA: Well, the tax rate is difficult to forecast with any precision and it depends on jurisdiction and the mix of earnings. MACKOVJAK: Can we assume similar to 2008? ZALLA: Yes, that's right, although in reality, the amount of tax expense can vary considerably, based on the resolution of tax contingencies during the year. That's particularly true since companies like us adopted FIN 148 a couple of years ago. You can expect some significant quarter to quarter volatility in the rate. MACKOVJAK: Okay. And how much of the fuel expense for 2009 is hedged? ZALLA: We are hedged at about 75 percent of the fuel used in ocean transportation of bananas from Latin America to North America and Europe. MACKOVJAK: Okay. Can you tell us what price, average price? ZALLA: At an average rate for Rotterdam barge fuel of $353 per metric ton. MACKOVJAK: Okay, and one last question. How did those contracts become unprofitable, the ones you walked away from. I assume when you signed them they were profitable? KOCHER: : I think there are a couple of things. One, we've seen unprecedented cost increases throughout the last year, certainly in 2008 and even through 2007, and some of these contracts were a little bit longer term in nature. So that was certainly one area that changed the economic profile of each of those contracts. MACKOVJAK: Okay. Thanks a lot, guys, appreciate it. AGUIRRE: Thank you very much for your questions and for joining us today. We look forward to updating you on our progress in the year ahead and that concludes the call.
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